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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Moves Higher on Signs of US Economic Strength

The dollar index (DXY00) Thursday rose by +0.37%.  The dollar moved higher Thursday on signs of strength in the economy after weekly jobless claims fell to a 1-month low and the May S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly increased, hawkish factors for Fed policy. 

However, gains in the dollar are limited after the House on Thursday passed President Trump's tax and spending plan, which will add to the burgeoning US budget deficit.  The bill now goes to the Senate for approval.

The dollar still has some negative carryover from last Friday when Moody's Ratings downgraded the US government's credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing a ballooning budget deficit and fiscal concerns.  The downgrade put the dollar's status as a global reserve currency into question and may prompt some investors to lighten up on their dollar assets. 

Also, dovish comments on Thursday from Fed Governor Waller were negative for the dollar when he said the Fed could cut interest rates the second half... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 13, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
406,660 (+1,125)
540,942 (+4,068)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
209,549 (+15,357)
124,775 (+6,302)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
34,250 (+1,093)
423,571 (+8,386)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
432,043 (+4,726)
120,966 (+579)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
86,340 (+13,255)
66,187 (-1,153)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
31,463 (-2,242)
22,880 (+2,908)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.10659 +1.95%
on 05/12/25
1.14399 -1.38%
on 04/23/25
-0.01390 (-1.22%)
since 04/22/25
3-Month
1.03600 +8.90%
on 02/28/25
1.15729 -2.51%
on 04/21/25
+0.08211 (+7.85%)
since 02/21/25
52-Week
1.01776 +10.85%
on 01/13/25
1.15729 -2.51%
on 04/21/25
+0.04591 (+4.24%)
since 05/22/24

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Currency spots and futures for the Sunday May 4 open

We share our currency playbook

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Something important is about to happen next week.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.14499
2nd Resistance Point 1.14062
1st Resistance Point 1.13681
Last Price 1.12800
1st Support Level 1.12863
2nd Support Level 1.12426
3rd Support Level 1.12045

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52-Week High 1.15729
Last Price 1.12800
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.10399
Fibonacci 50% 1.08753
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.07106
52-Week Low 1.01776

See More

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